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The Blog of Adam H Grimes

I teach people to make money in financial markets.

An important question about risk/reward

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/15/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:5 Comments

So, in doing my weekend work, I found what looks like a decent long trade in NYSE: STT. There are a number of supporting factors on this chart, but it…

Continue ReadingAn important question about risk/reward

A crystal ball?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/07/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:7 Comments

Over the years, I've had my fair share of being on both the right and wrong side of world events. However, on balance, I've noticed an unusual number of times…

Continue ReadingA crystal ball?

The sweet taste of… failure?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/05/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Trader Development
  • Post comments:8 Comments

I'm always doing research. Sometimes these are large, multi-month projects, but other times they are just a quick look to see "what the data says", and I share some of…

Continue ReadingThe sweet taste of… failure?

S&P 500 at 2,000. Now what?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:08/26/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Psychology
  • Post comments:2 Comments

[dc]S[/dc]ometimes, the obvious does need to be said. The S&P 500 cash index touched the big round number 2,000 yesterday. Here we are, in late summer, with very little happening…

Continue ReadingS&P 500 at 2,000. Now what?

Spikes in the VIX: Harbinger of a Coming Crash… or Not?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:08/02/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math/Volatility
  • Post comments:5 Comments

[dc]G[/dc]iven last week’s volatile spikes, there has been a lot of talk about the VIX and volatility in general. This is a good time to take a deeper look at…

Continue ReadingSpikes in the VIX: Harbinger of a Coming Crash… or Not?

Trading Volatility Compression

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:05/19/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math/Volatility
  • Post comments:6 Comments

[dc]I[/dc] want to write what might be a complicated blog post, but stick with me. I'll try to make it as clear as possible, because there is a good lesson…

Continue ReadingTrading Volatility Compression

Sell in May?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:05/12/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:2 Comments

[dc]I[/dc] wanted to share a few thoughts and some analysis that we published in our research a week ago, looking at the supposed "sell in May…" effect. There are a…

Continue ReadingSell in May?

When You See This, Be Careful

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/17/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:15 Comments

[dc]C[/dc]harts can be a powerful tool for market analysis and trading. At a glance, they can provide a quick overview of important price movements, can highlight supply/demand imbalances, and can…

Continue ReadingWhen You See This, Be Careful

Is It the Most Wonderful Time of the Year?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/16/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:0 Comments

This is repost of an article I wrote last year (2012). I would have updated the numbers, but it wasn't really necessary as last December was flat enough that it…

Continue ReadingIs It the Most Wonderful Time of the Year?

Chart of the Day: December Selloffs

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/12/2013
  • Post category:Chart of the Day/General Comments/Market Math
  • Post comments:0 Comments

Daily S&P 500 Cash Index with SigmaSpikes® I would like to share a note that I published in my daily research this morning: Yesterday's downward closes in major stock indexes…

Continue ReadingChart of the Day: December Selloffs

Fibonacci Conclusions (2/2)

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/26/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:12 Comments

[dc]T[/dc]oday I want to continue from last week's post on Fibonacci ratios, and wrap up with a few thoughts and conclusions. That post was very heavy on data and charts,…

Continue ReadingFibonacci Conclusions (2/2)
Read more about the article Testing Fibonaccis (1/2)

Testing Fibonaccis (1/2)

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/19/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:10 Comments

Warning: this blog post is not appropriate for all readers. You may find it challenging or disturbing, especially if you are not open to questioning some long-held beliefs. Reader discretion…

Continue ReadingTesting Fibonaccis (1/2)
Read more about the article Fibonacci: Thinking Deeper

Fibonacci: Thinking Deeper

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/17/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:5 Comments

Thinking about how to build a test for Fibonacci ratios in market data.

Continue ReadingFibonacci: Thinking Deeper

Fibonacci Fibs

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/10/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math
  • Post comments:2 Comments

A look at the numbers in the Fibonacci sequence, and why they might not matter as much as you've been told...

Continue ReadingFibonacci Fibs

The Slings and Arrows of Outrageous Fortune

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/25/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:19 Comments

A look at what normal variability in trading results can really mean.

Continue ReadingThe Slings and Arrows of Outrageous Fortune

Yes, Virginia…

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/14/2012
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:2 Comments

[dc]I[/dc]t's nearly impossible to go a day in December without hearing the phrase "Santa Claus rally." There is an impression that the market tends to rally into the end of…

Continue ReadingYes, Virginia…
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