On shorting stocks
A few thoughts on shorting stock markets, which may prove to be especially relevant here, as we head into the end of 2022. Long-term stock bias One of the most…
The worst thing that a daytrader can do
Yesterday, a trader I have worked with a bit over the years (let’s call him M) pinged me with this real-money equity curve: (For the record, that's a pretty good…
Being right and wrong at the same time
I’ve been thinking and writing a lot about uncertainty lately—and about making decisions with incomplete information. Over the past two years, we've all had to make decisions in an uncertain…
Life hacks and learning to trade
One of the interesting developments of the past ten years is the gradual death of the “life hack” approach. This is a good thing. The reason this movement has died…
Are you asking the right questions?
I took part in an interesting exchange in a Facebook group last night, in which a trader was asking “should I buy puts or calls for the spy or qqq?”…
It’s Hard to Learn from the Market
How do we learn? For most things, a pretty simple plan works: do something and evaluate the results. Make some changes to what you do, and see how the results…
How to Get Started Trading? Answer #1: the Casual Approach
I received a question from a reader, Cian, who asks: … My goal is to become a career trader. I am 30 years old and I am currently unemployed due…
A trade I usually skip. Time to rethink?
Today, I want to share some thoughts I’m having on a pattern I usually skip in my own trading. I’m wondering if maybe these are trades I should be taking……
What really moves markets?
In the face of recent historic moves in stocks, crude oil, bonds, and many currencies, it is a good idea to step back and think about a fundamental question: what…
Hello, regret, my old friend…
Trading can be emotional. The market often has volatile moves and it seems new highs or the end of the world are just around the corner. In this environment, it’s…
Are the secrets of price action hidden in randomness?
This might be a more challenging blog post than most, but if you’re interested in really understanding price action I think it’s very important. Over the past several weeks I’ve…
How to be more creative
Creativity is, for me, right at the heart of our growth as humans. In this post, I’ll share some ideas for connecting with your own creativity and bringing the power…
The law of small numbers: a mistake you’re probably making
One of the very positive advances over the past decade is the amount of attention focused on cognitive biases. We are, through the work of some gifted authors and speakers,…
Learning technical analysis: mindset and expectations
[et_pb_section fb_built="1" admin_label="section" _builder_version="3.0.47"][et_pb_row admin_label="row" _builder_version="3.0.48" background_size="initial" background_position="top_left" background_repeat="repeat"][et_pb_column type="4_4" _builder_version="3.0.47" parallax="off" parallax_method="on"][et_pb_text admin_label="Text" _builder_version="3.0.74" background_size="initial" background_position="top_left" background_repeat="repeat"] This is a continuation of the little mini-series on getting started in…
The secret formula for success
The secret to success is no secret at all—it’s right there in the open, for everyone to see. To achieve greatness in any field you have to do the right…
How to get started in technical analysis
This is the third in my series of blog posts for beginning traders. One of the questions I see over and over is “how do I start learning technical analysis?”…
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