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  • Market Math

    Market Math
    Read more about the article A shift in cryptocurrencies

    A shift in cryptocurrencies

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:01/28/2022
    • Post category:Market Math/Quantitative analysis

    Cryptocurrencies are in focus recently. Bitcoin has fallen almost 50% from its peak, and the future seems far less certain than it did a year ago. We were able to…

    Continue ReadingA shift in cryptocurrencies
    Read more about the article A new (FREE) tool to help you

    A new (FREE) tool to help you

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/23/2020
    • Post category:Market Math/Volatility

    “The benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average is off nearly 300 points as of midday today…” You can hear a similar quote on nearly every news outlet many times a day,…

    Continue ReadingA new (FREE) tool to help you
    Read more about the article This is what manipulation looks like

    This is what manipulation looks like

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/10/2020
    • Post category:Market Math

    I'm always looking at new ways to look at market data, and specifically new ways to present the data visually. Much of this finds its way into my work at…

    Continue ReadingThis is what manipulation looks like
    Read more about the article Knowing the future with market stats

    Knowing the future with market stats

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/02/2020
    • Post category:Market Math

    So, you’ve seen the headlines and, if you somehow missed it when it happened, you know that last week was a period of historically high volatility in the stock indexes.…

    Continue ReadingKnowing the future with market stats

    Using statistics to map the trading day

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:12/06/2018
    • Post category:Chart of the Day/Market Math

    This will be a very quick blog, as I'm just typing a few thoughts here in the first few minutes of what might be a volatile trading day. This morning,…

    Continue ReadingUsing statistics to map the trading day

    Santa Claus rally: updated stats and expectations

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:12/04/2018
    • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

    This is the last in a series of blogs looking at December seasonality in stocks. To quickly recap, the first post used a simple binary (up/down) classification to look at…

    Continue ReadingSanta Claus rally: updated stats and expectations

    Is Santa afraid of the Bear?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/30/2018
    • Post category:Market Math

    This is a continuation of a series of posts looking at December seasonality in the stock market. The previous post is here, and the goal of this series is to…

    Continue ReadingIs Santa afraid of the Bear?

    ‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/29/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools

    This is a followup to my previous post that included a visualization of seasonal tendencies for about 90 years of the US stock market. A visualization like that is a good…

    Continue Reading‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

    Is Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/28/2018
    • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

    This is the first in a short series of blogs in which we will look at the so-called Santa Claus rally in stocks and find some answers to the question…

    Continue ReadingIs Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

    An old paper I co-authored: Patterns in Stock Market Returns (2006)

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/21/2018
    • Post category:Market Math

    As we round the corner into the Thanksgiving holiday, I thought I would share another piece of my old writing. I recently found this paper as I was searching through…

    Continue ReadingAn old paper I co-authored: Patterns in Stock Market Returns (2006)

    Let’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/20/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    This is a slightly edited version of the note I sent to my Talon Advisors clients this weekend. There is always a lot of discussion about seasonality at the end…

    Continue ReadingLet’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

    When percents fail

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/11/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools/Volatility

    Let's think a bit about "signal generation". When we test something in the market what we're looking for is an answer to "What happens after _______ occurs?" This is really…

    Continue ReadingWhen percents fail

    How bad was October 2018, and what comes next?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/03/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Volatility

    There’s been a lot of discussion and stats thrown around recently, much of it centered around the idea of “like we just had the worst October ever.” I thought it…

    Continue ReadingHow bad was October 2018, and what comes next?

    Understanding intermarket relationships with scatterplots

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/22/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools

    Please read my last post first, before you begin this one. I ended the last post by suggesting that we were probably more interested in changes than in price levels.…

    Continue ReadingUnderstanding intermarket relationships with scatterplots

    Revisiting streaks

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/17/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Psychology/Trader Development

    In a previous post, I gave a look at my published swing trade record, with a title on the post of Trading is Hard! Let's revisit that concept, almost exactly…

    Continue ReadingRevisiting streaks

    Is this weird or not? The daily relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX.

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:04/13/2018
    • Post category:Market Math

    As I was wrapping up a Friday afternoon and getting ready to go play outside, I saw a post in a Facebook group where a guy asked what was up…

    Continue ReadingIs this weird or not? The daily relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX.
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