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Revisiting streaks

In a previous post, I gave a look at my published swing trade record, with a title on the post of Trading is Hard! Let’s revisit that concept, almost exactly a month later. The point of that post was that outcomes are “streakier” than we...

Probability and Strings of Losses

I received a question from a reader, David: Hey help me out please. I was reading a good blog by a smart math guy and he said that your next trade is always 50% chance of win. No matter what your overall win ratio is the next trade is always 50% chance. Like if your...