web analytics

When percents fail

Let’s think a bit about “signal generation”. When we test something in the market what we’re looking for is an answer to “What happens after _______ occurs?” This is really the essence of all backtesting and system...

Revisiting streaks

In a previous post, I gave a look at my published swing trade record, with a title on the post of Trading is Hard! Let’s revisit that concept, almost exactly a month later. The point of that post was that outcomes are “streakier” than we...