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The Blog of Adam H Grimes

I teach people to make money in financial markets.

The Market is Not a Math Problem

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/12/2012
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math
  • Post comments:4 Comments

Human behavior drives markets. Apply quantitative techniques with caution.

Continue ReadingThe Market is Not a Math Problem

Reader question: Mean reversion in futures and different timeframes?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/06/2012
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math/Readers Questions
  • Post comments:0 Comments

Adam, you say stocks are more prone to mean reversal and we know commodities tend to trend. But what about equity index futures like the ES? Are they more likely…

Continue ReadingReader question: Mean reversion in futures and different timeframes?

Random Support & Resistance Levels

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/04/2011
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math/Psychology/Support / Resistance
  • Post comments:0 Comments

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mPp7_fajvo

Continue ReadingRandom Support & Resistance Levels

How Do You Calculate Volatility In Excel?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/21/2011
  • Post category:Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:47 Comments

How to calculate a simple historical volatility using Microsoft Excel.

Continue ReadingHow Do You Calculate Volatility In Excel?

Small Stops, Big Risks?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/17/2011
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Market Math/Risk Management
  • Post comments:10 Comments

[dc]S[/dc]ome of the most persistent myths about trading revolve around the idea of low-risk trades. You will often hear traders say that they took a trade because the risk was…

Continue ReadingSmall Stops, Big Risks?

Two Statistical Studies

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/16/2011
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math
  • Post comments:3 Comments

[dc]I[/dc] want to share two statistical "studies" with you. Both of these were done this weekend, using the cash S&P index from 1/2/1987 - 10/14/2011. Both show a strong and…

Continue ReadingTwo Statistical Studies

Careful With Correlations

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/15/2011
  • Post category:Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math/Risk Management
  • Post comments:2 Comments

A casual understanding of mathematical concepts can often lead to incorrect conclusions. This post shows that the direction of markets on charts does not necessarily reveal anything about the correlation between those two markets.

Continue ReadingCareful With Correlations
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