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The Blog of Adam H Grimes

I teach people to make money in financial markets.

A new (FREE) tool to help you

A new (FREE) tool to help you

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/23/2020
  • Post category:Market Math / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

“The benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average is off nearly 300 points as of midday today…” You can hear a similar quote on nearly every news outlet many times a day,…

Continue Reading A new (FREE) tool to help you
The volatility game

The volatility game

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:05/29/2019
  • Post category:Chart of the Day / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

Take a look at the table of charts below. Each smaller chart shows the 10 largest stocks for that S&P 500 sector. They are graphed with historical (also called realized…

Continue Reading The volatility game

The most important goal of chart analysis

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:01/22/2019
  • Post category:Technical Patterns / Trader Development / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

This is the first in a short series of posts in which we will look at the basic, fundamental elements of directional trading. This series will be written for beginning…

Continue Reading The most important goal of chart analysis

S&P 500 futures activity by time of day

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/14/2018
  • Post category:Intraday Trading / Trading tools / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

Most people know that stock markets tend to be much more active on the open and close, and are often "dead" in the middle of the day. This is important…

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When percents fail

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/11/2018
  • Post category:Market Math / Trading tools / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

Let's think a bit about "signal generation". When we test something in the market what we're looking for is an answer to "What happens after _______ occurs?" This is really…

Continue Reading When percents fail

How bad was October 2018, and what comes next?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/03/2018
  • Post category:Market Math / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

There’s been a lot of discussion and stats thrown around recently, much of it centered around the idea of “like we just had the worst October ever.” I thought it…

Continue Reading How bad was October 2018, and what comes next?

Visualizing volatility: sector perspective

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/31/2018
  • Post category:Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

https://youtu.be/WfQd02vcWqE

Continue Reading Visualizing volatility: sector perspective

Reading the chart of Ethereum with sigma spikes: cryptocurrencies aren’t so cryptic after all…

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/05/2018
  • Post category:Trading tools / Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

One of the tools I’ve come to rely on over the last 10 years is an indicator I call Sigma Spikes. (Read about it and how to calculate here.) This…

Continue Reading Reading the chart of Ethereum with sigma spikes: cryptocurrencies aren’t so cryptic after all…

A few lessons on risk in short volatility strategies

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:02/08/2018
  • Post category:Volatility
  • Post comments:0 Comments

There are so many “teachable moments” in recent market action, it’s hard to decide where to start. I think one of the clearest lessons comes from the recent implosion of…

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Chart of the day: how the VIX moves

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:02/24/2017
  • Post category:Chart of the Day / Volatility
  • Post comments:1 Comment

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Trust your gut: the power of subjective chartreading

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:01/23/2017
  • Post category:Trading tools / Volatility
  • Post comments:3 Comments

I’ve looked deeply into ratios, levels, and their application to market data. I won’t rehash all of that work here, but, after literally years of research, the bottom line is…

Continue Reading Trust your gut: the power of subjective chartreading

Forecasting volatility

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/29/2016
  • Post category:Volatility
  • Post comments:3 Comments

A lot of the questions I get from people are about volatility--how to measure it, how to trade, and even, in a basic level, what it means. I recently added…

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What happens after big spikes in the VIX?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/12/2016
  • Post category:Market Math / Volatility
  • Post comments:10 Comments

I ran a quick study this morning to look at what happens to stock market volatility following large single day volatile events. Note that we are looking at market volatility…

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Four things you need to know about quiet markets

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:06/01/2016
  • Post category:Volatility
  • Post comments:15 Comments

How many emails do you get promising to show you how to find "hot stocks now"? How many screeners out there want to show you the movers and shakers in…

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NR7: an old friend

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/10/2015
  • Post category:Volatility
  • Post comments:6 Comments

Just a quick post to remind you of a technical tool you probably already know about. Like so many things that work, it's not exciting or sexy on the surface.…

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How to calculate SigmaSpikes?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/25/2015
  • Post category:Market Math / Trading tools / Volatility
  • Post comments:5 Comments

I've received a few questions about how to calculate a measure I have referred to many times here on my blog and in my published research that I call SigmaSpikes.…

Continue Reading How to calculate SigmaSpikes?
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