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The Blog of Adam H Grimes

I teach people to make money in financial markets.

Read more about the article Did you miss a trade?

Did you miss a trade?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:08/25/2021
  • Post category:Breakout/Failure Test/Trend Termination
  • Post comments:0 Comments

What happens if you miss a trade? Newer traders will often make a frustrated FOMO trade, and add a loss to what should have been a non-event. More experienced traders…

Continue ReadingDid you miss a trade?
Read more about the article Breakouts and breakout failures: real world trading

Breakouts and breakout failures: real world trading

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:04/09/2021
  • Post category:Breakout/Failure Test
  • Post comments:0 Comments

One of the disconnects for new traders is seeing how patterns play out in the real world. When we learn patterns, we usually start from pristine, idealized examples. But in…

Continue ReadingBreakouts and breakout failures: real world trading

ChartSchool: What exactly do we mean by context? And a long trade in CCE.

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:02/08/2018
  • Post category:Failure Test
  • Post comments:0 Comments

https://youtu.be/wgtuGR_WOFI   Check out MarketLife for free education, daily commentary and analysis, and a growing community of developing and experienced traders.

Continue ReadingChartSchool: What exactly do we mean by context? And a long trade in CCE.

Trading lesson: copper futures

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/01/2016
  • Post category:Anti/Climax/Failure Test/Pullback/Technical Patterns/Trend Termination
  • Post comments:3 Comments

Recent action in copper futures gives us some market lessons. These can be adapted to other markets and timeframes (so if you just trade stocks or currencies, don’t skip over…

Continue ReadingTrading lesson: copper futures

Hidden in plain sight: trading multiple timeframe influences

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:05/07/2015
  • Post category:Failure Test/Pullback/Support / Resistance/Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:5 Comments

Multiple timeframe analysis is almost a buzzword in technical analysis. I have been involved in markets actively for two decades, and have been an active participant in dialogue about markets…

Continue ReadingHidden in plain sight: trading multiple timeframe influences

To buy or not to buy…?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/10/2015
  • Post category:Breakout/Climax/Failure Test/Pullback/Volatility
  • Post comments:2 Comments

We can simplify many of the problems of technical or tactical trading to one question: assume that a market just made a large move. Do we want to fade (go…

Continue ReadingTo buy or not to buy…?

The Failure Test

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/11/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test
  • Post comments:5 Comments

Despite all the good reasons for focusing on with-trend trading, the first pattern I taught in my book was a little countertrend pattern--the failure test. Why? In this case, the…

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Followthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/24/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test/Psychology/Support / Resistance
  • Post comments:10 Comments

I've focused quite a bit here on quantitative aspects of trading and market analysis, and I've also just scratched the surface of the thorny subject of intuition. Today, I want…

Continue ReadingFollowthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500

Watch the S&P 500 index tomorrow

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/23/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test
  • Post comments:3 Comments

US Stocks stand at an important potential inflection. Structurally, we have seen much support for US stocks to emerge as the global relative strength leader, should stocks break out into…

Continue ReadingWatch the S&P 500 index tomorrow

What’s Next for the S&P 500?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:06/24/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments/Risk Management
  • Post comments:1 Comment

[dc]L[/dc]et's take a quick look at some developing market structure in the US stock market. First of all, consider the broad context: we are firmly ensconced in summertime trading conditions.…

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Trading Volatility Compression

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:05/19/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math/Volatility
  • Post comments:6 Comments

[dc]I[/dc] want to write what might be a complicated blog post, but stick with me. I'll try to make it as clear as possible, because there is a good lesson…

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Failure Test Followthrough in the EUR

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:05/13/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments/Support / Resistance/Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:0 Comments

[dc]T[/dc]he chart above is a daily chart of the EURUSD. I've written before about some of the challenges with using technical analysis in currencies—it's not that it can't be done,…

Continue ReadingFailure Test Followthrough in the EUR

Chart of the Day: Managing the Failure Test in AAPL

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/18/2012
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments
  • Post comments:0 Comments

The failure test trade in AAPL develops.

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Chart of the Day: Failure Test in AAPL

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/18/2012
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments
  • Post comments:3 Comments

A failure test in AAPL gives a long entry.

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Chart of the Day: Pattern Breakdown in Corn

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/19/2012
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments/Support / Resistance
  • Post comments:1 Comment

Grains have had dramatic uptrends for most of the summer. At A on this chart, we were looking at a possible long entry—had prices quickly recovered back above the bottom…

Continue ReadingChart of the Day: Pattern Breakdown in Corn

Chart of the Day: Failure Test in AAPL

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/11/2012
  • Post category:Failure Test/General Comments
  • Post comments:1 Comment

This chart shows a clean failure test in AAPL. The pattern is a brief probe above resistance, followed by an immediate failure and sharp reversal. Many traders would be reluctant…

Continue ReadingChart of the Day: Failure Test in AAPL
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