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Technical Patterns

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Video blog: time to buy crude oil?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:02/04/2015
  • Post category:Trend Termination

http://youtu.be/wCUW_KIwxEk A look at current conditions in crude oil, and some general comments on how to fade a trend.

Continue ReadingVideo blog: time to buy crude oil?

Technicals for everyone: overbought / oversold

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/18/2014
  • Post category:Climax/Trader Development

Continuing from yesterday's post, I wanted to dig a little bit deeper into the idea of what happens when markets go too far, too fast and snap back. This concept…

Continue ReadingTechnicals for everyone: overbought / oversold

Buying the Russell 2000 index

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/13/2014
  • Post category:Pullback

A look at the technical justification and support for a long trade in the Russell 2000 index, or other US indexes.

Continue ReadingBuying the Russell 2000 index

The Failure Test

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/11/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test

Despite all the good reasons for focusing on with-trend trading, the first pattern I taught in my book was a little countertrend pattern--the failure test. Why? In this case, the…

Continue ReadingThe Failure Test

Style matters

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/10/2014
  • Post category:Technical Patterns/Trader Development

Last week, I covered pullback trading, which is one of the most common and most important with-trend trading patterns. This week, I will dig deeper into some different patterns, but…

Continue ReadingStyle matters

The nested pullback

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/07/2014
  • Post category:Nested Pullback

This is the third article in my series on pattern recognition, and the last on pullbacks. Most patterns in markets are relatively simple, and most patterns were labeled long ago.…

Continue ReadingThe nested pullback

How to trade Complex Consolidations

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/06/2014
  • Post category:Pullback

This is the second in a series of posts on pattern recognition, following up on yesterday's post that dealt with trading simple pullbacks. The pullback truly is one of the…

Continue ReadingHow to trade Complex Consolidations

How to trade pullbacks

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/05/2014
  • Post category:Pullback

I'm starting a short series of posts here on pattern recognition, focusing on simple patterns that I have found useful in actual trading. Some of my readers may have questions…

Continue ReadingHow to trade pullbacks

When markets go wild

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/27/2014
  • Post category:Chart of the Day/Technical Patterns

Markets normally move in alternating waves of with-trend impulse moves interspersed with lower volatility pullbacks. This is a reliable trend pattern, and, in fact, is enough to base a trading…

Continue ReadingWhen markets go wild

What works?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/23/2014
  • Post category:Technical Patterns/Trader Development

I post a lot of critical thoughts, and spend a lot of time encouraging people to think deeply about the technical tools they use. Recently, I've received a lot of…

Continue ReadingWhat works?

That trend indicator, is it helping or hurting?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/21/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

Continuing from my previous post on moving averages, let's take a look at using a moving average as a trend indicator. Again, here is some material from the unpublished part…

Continue ReadingThat trend indicator, is it helping or hurting?

Moving averages: digging deeper

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/21/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

Ok, so I'll warn you up front: this one's going to be a little bit difficult. The response to my post on the 200 day moving average in the DJIA…

Continue ReadingMoving averages: digging deeper

Does the 200 day moving average “work”?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/15/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math/Technical Patterns

This is one of those technical questions that does not have a quick, simple answer. The best answer is "no, not really, and almost certainly not in the way most…

Continue ReadingDoes the 200 day moving average “work”?

This is what “risk off” looks like in stocks

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/12/2014
  • Post category:Relative Strength

The chart above shows the 12 month return (vertical axis) against the shorter-term momentum (horizontal), for the major sectors of the S&P 1500. We can clearly see that the only…

Continue ReadingThis is what “risk off” looks like in stocks

Where the wild things are? No, where the open is.

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/10/2014
  • Post category:Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math/Technical Patterns

The open, in many ways, is the most important price of the day; action off the open can often define the character of the entire session and even have implications…

Continue ReadingWhere the wild things are? No, where the open is.

About those small and mid caps…

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/08/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns

Everyone is talking about the recent underperformance of small caps (and I've talked about it too!) This underperformance is taken to be a sign of an impending crash, or at…

Continue ReadingAbout those small and mid caps…
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