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The Blog of Adam H Grimes

I teach people to make money in financial markets.

Read more about the article Overshoots and Overreactions

Overshoots and Overreactions

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/17/2022
  • Post category:Climax
  • Post comments:0 Comments

One of the features of financial markets is that they often react to new information with emotional volatility, and overshoot extremes. Understanding this element of price behavior can give us…

Continue ReadingOvershoots and Overreactions
Read more about the article Free bars: little patterns after big moves

Free bars: little patterns after big moves

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:02/26/2021
  • Post category:Climax/Technical Patterns/Trend Termination
  • Post comments:0 Comments

Bands or channels are usually set up around some type of moving average. They define what is normal for a market, so excursions outside the bands are potentially interesting. There…

Continue ReadingFree bars: little patterns after big moves

A short trade in silver: dealing with oversold levels in trends

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/04/2018
  • Post category:Climax/Pullback
  • Post comments:0 Comments

A few lessons from a simple short trade in silver. First, a little bit of history. I’ve been trading gold fairly actively this year, and have published five trades in…

Continue ReadingA short trade in silver: dealing with oversold levels in trends

Trendlines in the DJIA: What Can We Learn About Market Structure?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:04/16/2018
  • Post category:Climax/Trading tools
  • Post comments:0 Comments

A quick lesson on trendlines and what they can tell us about market dynamics. Take a look at a fairly long-term chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (below) with…

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Trading lesson: copper futures

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/01/2016
  • Post category:Anti/Climax/Failure Test/Pullback/Technical Patterns/Trend Termination
  • Post comments:3 Comments

Recent action in copper futures gives us some market lessons. These can be adapted to other markets and timeframes (so if you just trade stocks or currencies, don’t skip over…

Continue ReadingTrading lesson: copper futures

MarketLife Ep 22 – Acts of God: managing market extremes

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:07/07/2015
  • Post category:Climax/Podcast
  • Post comments:10 Comments

This podcast episode looks at trading around market extremes, Acts of God, and very large market moves. From market history, some examples might be 9/11, 1987, Fukushima, Katrina, etc. Today,…

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Visualizing USD trend strength

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/16/2015
  • Post category:Climax/Trading tools
  • Post comments:1 Comment

The US Dollar is in a trend of historic proportions; the strength and rapidity of its advance has shocked many other currencies as they scramble to adapt to the new…

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To buy or not to buy…?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/10/2015
  • Post category:Breakout/Climax/Failure Test/Pullback/Volatility
  • Post comments:2 Comments

We can simplify many of the problems of technical or tactical trading to one question: assume that a market just made a large move. Do we want to fade (go…

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Technicals for everyone: overbought / oversold

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/18/2014
  • Post category:Climax/Trader Development
  • Post comments:3 Comments

Continuing from yesterday's post, I wanted to dig a little bit deeper into the idea of what happens when markets go too far, too fast and snap back. This concept…

Continue ReadingTechnicals for everyone: overbought / oversold

Toil and Trouble

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/10/2013
  • Post category:Climax/General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders
  • Post comments:0 Comments

  Double, double toil and trouble Fire burn, and cauldron bubble. -Shakespeare [dc]B[/dc]ubbles seem to be the theme of the day. Headlines like "Why Stocks Are Undoubtedly Experiencing a Massive…

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Too Much of a Good Thing

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/07/2013
  • Post category:Climax/General Comments/Individual Traders
  • Post comments:2 Comments

A simple pattern often marks the end of trends.

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Chart of the Day: Russell 2000 Index

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:07/20/2012
  • Post category:Anti/Climax/General Comments/Relative Strength
  • Post comments:0 Comments

I tend to believe it's usually counterproductive to do too much in-depth technical analysis on different market cap or sector indexes. Everything is so tightly correlated anyway, so differences often…

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First Principles in Technical Analysis (4/?)

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:01/30/2012
  • Post category:Climax/General Comments
  • Post comments:1 Comment

 Trends end in one of two ways [dc]T[/dc]he last lecture looked at the power of an intact trend. Of course, trends do not go one forever. They do end, and…

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