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  • Trend Termination

    Technical Patterns Trend Termination
    Read more about the article Did you miss a trade?

    Did you miss a trade?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:08/25/2021
    • Post category:Breakout/Failure Test/Trend Termination

    What happens if you miss a trade? Newer traders will often make a frustrated FOMO trade, and add a loss to what should have been a non-event. More experienced traders…

    Continue ReadingDid you miss a trade?
    Read more about the article Free bars: little patterns after big moves

    Free bars: little patterns after big moves

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:02/26/2021
    • Post category:Climax/Technical Patterns/Trend Termination

    Bands or channels are usually set up around some type of moving average. They define what is normal for a market, so excursions outside the bands are potentially interesting. There…

    Continue ReadingFree bars: little patterns after big moves
    Read more about the article What are the odds? What market stats can and can’t tell us…

    What are the odds? What market stats can and can’t tell us…

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:06/04/2019
    • Post category:Quantitative analysis/Support / Resistance/Trend Termination

    I want to share the results of a quick statistical study I did today, and also share a few thoughts about using stats, in general, to shape our trading decisions.…

    Continue ReadingWhat are the odds? What market stats can and can’t tell us…

    This week, come and learn about a new trade type: trend termination

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:07/16/2018
    • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns/Trend Termination

    This week, in our pattern analysis group, we’re looking at Trend Termination plays. This terminology might be a bit confusing at first. It stems from a system I came up…

    Continue ReadingThis week, come and learn about a new trade type: trend termination

    Video blog: trade location, in bases or trends?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:06/14/2018
    • Post category:Pullback/Trend Termination/Video blog

    https://youtu.be/GLNqlHmPErE

    Continue ReadingVideo blog: trade location, in bases or trends?

    A Trading Lesson in Pullbacks

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:05/01/2018
    • Post category:Pullback/Trend Termination

    I have found, over the years, solid results from trading a handful of patterns put in the proper context. Perhaps the most useful of those patterns in the pullback, which…

    Continue ReadingA Trading Lesson in Pullbacks

    Trading lesson: copper futures

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:12/01/2016
    • Post category:Anti/Climax/Failure Test/Pullback/Technical Patterns/Trend Termination

    Recent action in copper futures gives us some market lessons. These can be adapted to other markets and timeframes (so if you just trade stocks or currencies, don’t skip over…

    Continue ReadingTrading lesson: copper futures

    AUDUSD: Short-term inflections or trend change?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/31/2016
    • Post category:Pullback/Trading tools/Trend Termination

    One of the key challenges for discretionary traders is balancing short-term and longer-term information. Err too far on either side, and bad things will happen: Focus too much on short-term,…

    Continue ReadingAUDUSD: Short-term inflections or trend change?

    The early bird… gets stopped out a lot

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:12/15/2015
    • Post category:Trend Termination

    One of the themes I've written on recently is that we need to be careful how we think about trend change and end of trend patterns. I think too much…

    Continue ReadingThe early bird… gets stopped out a lot

    Don’t be this guy

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/23/2015
    • Post category:General Comments/Trend Termination

    Take a look at this picture which I took a few years ago, on a Friday afternoon, on a New York / New Jersey ferry. After a long and stressful…

    Continue ReadingDon’t be this guy

    The trend is your friend, except at the end…

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:08/31/2015
    • Post category:Trend Termination

    Let's talk about endings today. If we can better understand the patterns that often occur when trends end, we are better equipped to manage risk, place stops, and, in general,…

    Continue ReadingThe trend is your friend, except at the end…

    Slip and slide (along the bands)

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:08/06/2015
    • Post category:Pullback/Trading tools/Trend Termination

    Effective trading patterns are usually simple. The more complicated an idea is, the more likely it is the result of trying to fit very random data (i.e., the market) into…

    Continue ReadingSlip and slide (along the bands)

    Trading against your bias: how and why

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:08/03/2015
    • Post category:Pullback/Trend Termination

    I initiated a short in crude oil back in July, and an astute reader sent me a good question. For many weeks/months I had been operating with the assumption that…

    Continue ReadingTrading against your bias: how and why

    Taming the bear in the Russell 2000

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:05/01/2015
    • Post category:Pullback/Trend Termination

    Let me preface this by saying two things: First, I'm bullish on global stocks over even moderately long timeframes. Technicians like to call tops, but I think this bull market…

    Continue ReadingTaming the bear in the Russell 2000

    Video blog: time to buy crude oil?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:02/04/2015
    • Post category:Trend Termination

    http://youtu.be/wCUW_KIwxEk A look at current conditions in crude oil, and some general comments on how to fade a trend.

    Continue ReadingVideo blog: time to buy crude oil?

    The problem with reversals

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/04/2014
    • Post category:Psychology/Trend Termination

    One of the curious elements of human psychology is the tendency to fade moves or to try to pick turning points in trends. When I started trading, this was how…

    Continue ReadingThe problem with reversals
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