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The Blog of Adam H Grimes

I teach people to make money in financial markets.

Why should you be able to make money?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/31/2014
  • Post category:General Comments / Individual Traders / Trader Development
  • Post comments:8 Comments

This is an obvious issue, but one that is often ignored. The argument of many academics is that you can’t make money trading; your best bet is to put your…

Continue Reading Why should you be able to make money?

Reader question: what’s the music?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/30/2014
  • Post category:Readers Questions
  • Post comments:2 Comments

I recently received a couple questions on the same topic: people asking where the bumper music I used for the videos for my (free) trading course comes from, with a…

Continue Reading Reader question: what’s the music?

When markets go wild

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/27/2014
  • Post category:Chart of the Day / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:3 Comments

Markets normally move in alternating waves of with-trend impulse moves interspersed with lower volatility pullbacks. This is a reliable trend pattern, and, in fact, is enough to base a trading…

Continue Reading When markets go wild

What works?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/23/2014
  • Post category:Technical Patterns / Trader Development
  • Post comments:15 Comments

I post a lot of critical thoughts, and spend a lot of time encouraging people to think deeply about the technical tools they use. Recently, I've received a lot of…

Continue Reading What works?

That trend indicator, is it helping or hurting?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/21/2014
  • Post category:Market Math / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:17 Comments

Continuing from my previous post on moving averages, let's take a look at using a moving average as a trend indicator. Again, here is some material from the unpublished part…

Continue Reading That trend indicator, is it helping or hurting?

Moving averages: digging deeper

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/21/2014
  • Post category:Market Math / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:11 Comments

Ok, so I'll warn you up front: this one's going to be a little bit difficult. The response to my post on the 200 day moving average in the DJIA…

Continue Reading Moving averages: digging deeper

A look at the current market conditions: trades, risks, and opportunities

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/15/2014
  • Post category:Chart of the Day
  • Post comments:3 Comments

I thought this was a good time to take a look at current market conditions in US stocks. This is certainly a time when risk, emotions, and volatility are elevated,…

Continue Reading A look at the current market conditions: trades, risks, and opportunities

Does the 200 day moving average “work”?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/15/2014
  • Post category:General Comments / Market Math / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:37 Comments

This is one of those technical questions that does not have a quick, simple answer. The best answer is "no, not really, and almost certainly not in the way most…

Continue Reading Does the 200 day moving average “work”?

The line in the sand

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/14/2014
  • Post category:Psychology
  • Post comments:7 Comments

Everyone does it. I used to do it too, but I stopped because I realized I looked silly a few months down the road. You've heard the predictions: "if this…

Continue Reading The line in the sand

The big problem with seasonality

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/13/2014
  • Post category:General Comments
  • Post comments:8 Comments

This is the time of year when we typically start hearing seasonal predictions for the stock market. There are a few problems with seasonality, the biggest of which is that…

Continue Reading The big problem with seasonality

This is what “risk off” looks like in stocks

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/12/2014
  • Post category:Relative Strength
  • Post comments:1 Comment

The chart above shows the 12 month return (vertical axis) against the shorter-term momentum (horizontal), for the major sectors of the S&P 1500. We can clearly see that the only…

Continue Reading This is what “risk off” looks like in stocks

Where the wild things are? No, where the open is.

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/10/2014
  • Post category:Individual Traders / Institutional Managers/Traders / Market Math / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:10 Comments

The open, in many ways, is the most important price of the day; action off the open can often define the character of the entire session and even have implications…

Continue Reading Where the wild things are? No, where the open is.

About those small and mid caps…

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/08/2014
  • Post category:General Comments / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:4 Comments

Everyone is talking about the recent underperformance of small caps (and I've talked about it too!) This underperformance is taken to be a sign of an impending crash, or at…

Continue Reading About those small and mid caps…

One step ahead…

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/08/2014
  • Post category:General Comments / Pullback / Technical Patterns
  • Post comments:5 Comments

The most important factor setting up pullback trades, and a simple framework for market and trend analysis that really works.

Continue Reading One step ahead…

Hey, that’s different!

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/07/2014
  • Post category:General Comments / Technical Patterns / Trader Development
  • Post comments:5 Comments

It pays to think deeply about markets, how they move, risk, opportunity, and how it all plays out in the grand scheme of probability. We can and should spend a…

Continue Reading Hey, that’s different!

Market stats: how to catch a common error

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/04/2014
  • Post category:General Comments / Market Math
  • Post comments:2 Comments

Financial markets are highly uncertain, and every decision we make is ruled by the iron fist of probability. For traders and investors, statistics, whether expressed explicitly or learned implicitly from…

Continue Reading Market stats: how to catch a common error
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