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  • Monthly Archives: October 2014

    October 2014

    Why should you be able to make money?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/31/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Trader Development

    This is an obvious issue, but one that is often ignored. The argument of many academics is that you can’t make money trading; your best bet is to put your…

    Continue ReadingWhy should you be able to make money?

    Reader question: what’s the music?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/30/2014
    • Post category:Readers Questions

    I recently received a couple questions on the same topic: people asking where the bumper music I used for the videos for my (free) trading course comes from, with a…

    Continue ReadingReader question: what’s the music?

    When markets go wild

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/27/2014
    • Post category:Chart of the Day/Technical Patterns

    Markets normally move in alternating waves of with-trend impulse moves interspersed with lower volatility pullbacks. This is a reliable trend pattern, and, in fact, is enough to base a trading…

    Continue ReadingWhen markets go wild

    What works?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/23/2014
    • Post category:Technical Patterns/Trader Development

    I post a lot of critical thoughts, and spend a lot of time encouraging people to think deeply about the technical tools they use. Recently, I've received a lot of…

    Continue ReadingWhat works?

    That trend indicator, is it helping or hurting?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/21/2014
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    Continuing from my previous post on moving averages, let's take a look at using a moving average as a trend indicator. Again, here is some material from the unpublished part…

    Continue ReadingThat trend indicator, is it helping or hurting?

    Moving averages: digging deeper

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/21/2014
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    Ok, so I'll warn you up front: this one's going to be a little bit difficult. The response to my post on the 200 day moving average in the DJIA…

    Continue ReadingMoving averages: digging deeper

    A look at the current market conditions: trades, risks, and opportunities

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/15/2014
    • Post category:Chart of the Day

    I thought this was a good time to take a look at current market conditions in US stocks. This is certainly a time when risk, emotions, and volatility are elevated,…

    Continue ReadingA look at the current market conditions: trades, risks, and opportunities

    Does the 200 day moving average “work”?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/15/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Market Math/Technical Patterns

    This is one of those technical questions that does not have a quick, simple answer. The best answer is "no, not really, and almost certainly not in the way most…

    Continue ReadingDoes the 200 day moving average “work”?

    The line in the sand

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/14/2014
    • Post category:Psychology

    Everyone does it. I used to do it too, but I stopped because I realized I looked silly a few months down the road. You've heard the predictions: "if this…

    Continue ReadingThe line in the sand

    The big problem with seasonality

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/13/2014
    • Post category:General Comments

    This is the time of year when we typically start hearing seasonal predictions for the stock market. There are a few problems with seasonality, the biggest of which is that…

    Continue ReadingThe big problem with seasonality

    This is what “risk off” looks like in stocks

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/12/2014
    • Post category:Relative Strength

    The chart above shows the 12 month return (vertical axis) against the shorter-term momentum (horizontal), for the major sectors of the S&P 1500. We can clearly see that the only…

    Continue ReadingThis is what “risk off” looks like in stocks

    Where the wild things are? No, where the open is.

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/10/2014
    • Post category:Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math/Technical Patterns

    The open, in many ways, is the most important price of the day; action off the open can often define the character of the entire session and even have implications…

    Continue ReadingWhere the wild things are? No, where the open is.

    About those small and mid caps…

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/08/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns

    Everyone is talking about the recent underperformance of small caps (and I've talked about it too!) This underperformance is taken to be a sign of an impending crash, or at…

    Continue ReadingAbout those small and mid caps…

    One step ahead…

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/08/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Pullback/Technical Patterns

    The most important factor setting up pullback trades, and a simple framework for market and trend analysis that really works.

    Continue ReadingOne step ahead…

    Hey, that’s different!

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/07/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns/Trader Development

    It pays to think deeply about markets, how they move, risk, opportunity, and how it all plays out in the grand scheme of probability. We can and should spend a…

    Continue ReadingHey, that’s different!

    Market stats: how to catch a common error

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/04/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

    Financial markets are highly uncertain, and every decision we make is ruled by the iron fist of probability. For traders and investors, statistics, whether expressed explicitly or learned implicitly from…

    Continue ReadingMarket stats: how to catch a common error
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