Hello, Regret, My Old Friend…
Trading can be emotional. The market often has volatile moves and it seems new highs or the end of the world are just around the corner. In this environment, it’s…
Knowing the future with market stats
So, you’ve seen the headlines and, if you somehow missed it when it happened, you know that last week was a period of historically high volatility in the stock indexes.…
What’s new with me and my work in 2020
I want to share some things Tom and I have been working on over the past year, and tell you about some exciting things that will be coming this year.…
Support and resistance… right now
Support and resistance is a controversial topic. Traders’ cognitive bias and random price motion conspire to play tricks on the mind. Many technical analysis books and gurus parrot conventional wisdom…
New Year, New Decade, New You?
I started this blog post on the day with the longest night of the year, and it’s taken a bit longer to get finished than I expected! So, here’s a…
Using highs and lows
How do we know how that market is doing on any day? If we turn on the news, we will hear something like “the Dow Jones is up 40 points…”,…
Do you really want to know what’s happening with the Economy?
I want to share something pretty cool with you: the quarterly macro piece I publish for my institutional advisory clients at Talon Advisors. This report grew out of work I…
Bear flags in cryptos
This morning, Tom says to me "Cryptos are looking like good shorts." He's right. Take a look at the daily chart of Bitcoin Cash: Recently broke below a channel with…
Tracking the Economy: a scorecard
As I said in my recent post, I’ll be focusing a bit more on fundamental and macroeconomic factors over the next few months. Every week, we hear some (or many!)…
What to expect here… soon
As we slowly move out of summer and into the end of the year, you’ve probably noticed my blog has picked up in activity. I want to share some things…
Help Symbol Question Question Mark Icon Response
Reader Question: What is Momentum?
Here’s a good question from a reader, Said: “I know this is a very basic question, but what is momentum? I see people use it and I am not sure…
The Anti: a trading lesson from ROKU
Stepping in front of a strongly trending market is one of the best ways to lose money. But trends do end, and sometimes those endings can offer great trades. How…
A trade a day: free video
https://youtu.be/NL4oDtCIDzk Check out our Youtube channel... subscribe and watch for a free video (most) every day.
What are the odds? What market stats can and can’t tell us…
I want to share the results of a quick statistical study I did today, and also share a few thoughts about using stats, in general, to shape our trading decisions.…
Market Stress Index: Introducing the MSI
There are many tools out there that attempt to quantify the emotional extremes of the market. When we created one, we had one goal: we wanted it to have an…
Visualizing sector performance
As I continue to share some of the tools I use, I want to look at sectors and sector performance today. I don't think there's much value in looking at…
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