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  • Monthly Archives: November 2018

    November 2018

    Is Santa afraid of the Bear?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/30/2018
    • Post category:Market Math

    This is a continuation of a series of posts looking at December seasonality in the stock market. The previous post is here, and the goal of this series is to…

    Continue ReadingIs Santa afraid of the Bear?

    ‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/29/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools

    This is a followup to my previous post that included a visualization of seasonal tendencies for about 90 years of the US stock market. A visualization like that is a good…

    Continue Reading‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

    Is Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/28/2018
    • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

    This is the first in a short series of blogs in which we will look at the so-called Santa Claus rally in stocks and find some answers to the question…

    Continue ReadingIs Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

    How to avoid some bad trades

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/27/2018
    • Post category:Breakout

    Take a look at the chart above. Notice three things near the right edge of the chart: An intermediate term moving average is flat Price is never moving far from…

    Continue ReadingHow to avoid some bad trades

    How to learn about indicators

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/26/2018
    • Post category:Trading tools

    This weekend, a reader, Paul, asked: In my limited understanding, Rsi, cci and % r are all basically trying to show the same thing When is one better than the…

    Continue ReadingHow to learn about indicators

    An old paper I co-authored: Patterns in Stock Market Returns (2006)

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/21/2018
    • Post category:Market Math

    As we round the corner into the Thanksgiving holiday, I thought I would share another piece of my old writing. I recently found this paper as I was searching through…

    Continue ReadingAn old paper I co-authored: Patterns in Stock Market Returns (2006)

    Guest post: Ohhh, Is That A Shiny Penny On The Ground?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/20/2018
    • Post category:Guest Blog

    [Here's a guest post from a great system developer, honest guy, and my friend Kevin Davey. He beat me to the punch with an article on option selling/writing premium. Tom…

    Continue ReadingGuest post: Ohhh, Is That A Shiny Penny On The Ground?

    Let’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/20/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    This is a slightly edited version of the note I sent to my Talon Advisors clients this weekend. There is always a lot of discussion about seasonality at the end…

    Continue ReadingLet’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

    This does not look like that

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/20/2018
    • Post category:Chart of the Day

    I write a lot of words, but sometimes words aren't really necessary. I'll just leave you a look at the current chart of the S&P 500 index (daily), alongside the…

    Continue ReadingThis does not look like that

    Reader question: is anyone worried?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/16/2018
    • Post category:Individual Traders/Psychology/Trader Development

    In a Facebook discussion group I run, Dan asked if anyone was worried about the market. In this own words: I know you guys are robots who play the tape,…

    Continue ReadingReader question: is anyone worried?

    S&P 500 futures activity by time of day

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/14/2018
    • Post category:Intraday Trading/Trading tools/Volatility

    Most people know that stock markets tend to be much more active on the open and close, and are often "dead" in the middle of the day. This is important…

    Continue ReadingS&P 500 futures activity by time of day

    How do you know if you’re chasing a trade or not?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/13/2018
    • Post category:Pullback

    FOMO (fear of missing out) is a killer in the markets. One of the surest ways to lose money is to miss a trade, get frustrated, and then bang into…

    Continue ReadingHow do you know if you’re chasing a trade or not?

    When is a recovery not a recovery?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/12/2018
    • Post category:General Comments

    At the end of last week (week ended 11/9/18), many technical analysis were pointing to "recoveries" in Europe and Asian stock indexes. The observation was that most global stock indexes…

    Continue ReadingWhen is a recovery not a recovery?

    When percents fail

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/11/2018
    • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools/Volatility

    Let's think a bit about "signal generation". When we test something in the market what we're looking for is an answer to "What happens after _______ occurs?" This is really…

    Continue ReadingWhen percents fail

    TradeLab: Reviewing some recent trades we published

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/07/2018
    • Post category:Breakout/Pullback/Trader Development

    I firmly believe the best trading lessons come from the market... and the best of the best trading lessons come from your own work and trading. Let me share some…

    Continue ReadingTradeLab: Reviewing some recent trades we published

    ChartSchool: trading the Anti

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/06/2018
    • Post category:Anti

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=glC46qBLaM8

    Continue ReadingChartSchool: trading the Anti
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