Coming soon…
I just wanted to take a few minutes here at the end of the week and share some things I'm working on. Some of these things you will see soon,…
Forecasting volatility
A lot of the questions I get from people are about volatility--how to measure it, how to trade, and even, in a basic level, what it means. I recently added…
Five steps to creativity
Our culture has an interesting relationship with creativity. On one hand, we hold creative artists in high regard, but many people secretly laugh at the arts as a career choice.…
Are beliefs all that matter? Thoughts on trading psychology
Here's an interesting question on a controversial topic--trading psychology. Reader Rob sent me a note asking: Hi. I hope you can help me with a question. I am a developing…
What happens after big spikes in the VIX?
I ran a quick study this morning to look at what happens to stock market volatility following large single day volatile events. Note that we are looking at market volatility…
Common sense checks for quantitative data
Yesterday I wrote a post that looked at asset returns and how to compound them. That post was in response to a reader's (Anthony's) question, and I want to continue…
Gains and losses: understanding returns in assets and trading accounts
One of my readers, Anthony, sent me a good question about doing some statistical analysis on stock indexes. I think there are some important lessons here. Here's the question First,…
Reader question: Who moves the market?
As markets languish in the summer doldrums, Glenn comes back with a good philosophical question: The edge in technical analysis is to find an imbalance of buying and selling pressure..…
Where does market intuition come from?
I saw this interesting article from Bloomberg last week, with the almost-clickbait title of "Train your brain for trading (No, Really!)" I just happened to click on it, and found…
Video blog: That trend indicator… is it helping or hurting?
It can difficult to dig into someone else's work and research. I wrote a post a few years ago about why using the slope of a moving average, moving average…
Trendlines 101
I thought it might be useful, since most markets are about as exciting as drying paint right now, to take a few steps back and consider some basic tools that…
Patience… patience
An interesting debate emerged in the comments to one of my posts. In the post, I had suggested the discipline was the most important thing; a reader countered that patience…
Reader question: How to handle exits?
Glenn comes back today with another good question. Here's his full, unedited question: Your many hats, your one job, the one and only thing that matters. For what it is…
MarketLife Ep 35 – The beginner’s mind (a new mini-series)
This episode kicks off a mini-series in which I work with a beginning trader to learn the very fundamentals of the business. We will cover method, psychology, risk, learning techniques,…
Your many hats
I wrote a few posts last week about how to never miss the move. Today, I want to dig into that idea a little bit deeper, and think about why,…
So you missed the move?
This post might make you mad. You might think I'm blind to risks or that I don't understand the world. You might end up telling me how wrong and stupid…