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Technical Patterns

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One step ahead…

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/08/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Pullback/Technical Patterns

The most important factor setting up pullback trades, and a simple framework for market and trend analysis that really works.

Continue ReadingOne step ahead…

Hey, that’s different!

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/07/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns/Trader Development

It pays to think deeply about markets, how they move, risk, opportunity, and how it all plays out in the grand scheme of probability. We can and should spend a…

Continue ReadingHey, that’s different!

Europe is vulnerable

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/29/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Pullback

We are seeing a potential divergence in the performance of US and European stocks. European stocks are showing overtly bearish patterns, lead by clean breakdowns out of weekly bear flags…

Continue ReadingEurope is vulnerable

The one thing I am paying attention to in the S&P 500 right now

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/25/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Psychology/Technical Patterns

We are awash in opinion and speculation. Every trader is writing blog posts or tweets about why the market will go up or down, and citing any number of factors.…

Continue ReadingThe one thing I am paying attention to in the S&P 500 right now

Followthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/24/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test/Psychology/Support / Resistance

I've focused quite a bit here on quantitative aspects of trading and market analysis, and I've also just scratched the surface of the thorny subject of intuition. Today, I want…

Continue ReadingFollowthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500

Watch the S&P 500 index tomorrow

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/23/2014
  • Post category:Failure Test

US Stocks stand at an important potential inflection. Structurally, we have seen much support for US stocks to emerge as the global relative strength leader, should stocks break out into…

Continue ReadingWatch the S&P 500 index tomorrow

Death and golden crosses: a deeper look

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/22/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

Last week, I wrote a post looking at the (apparently) impending Death Cross in the Russell 2000 index. In that post and the data examined, I found an interesting and…

Continue ReadingDeath and golden crosses: a deeper look

Death cross: omen or not?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/19/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

One of the recurring themes in my work is that most of the technical tools most people use do not show an actual edge in the market--in other words, as…

Continue ReadingDeath cross: omen or not?

An important question about risk/reward

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/15/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

So, in doing my weekend work, I found what looks like a decent long trade in NYSE: STT. There are a number of supporting factors on this chart, but it…

Continue ReadingAn important question about risk/reward

Reader question: why do patterns work?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/11/2014
  • Post category:Individual Traders/Pullback/Readers Questions

A really interesting discussion developed in the comments to this post on pullbacks. Since you're capable of clicking the link and reading the comments, I won't copy the whole discussion…

Continue ReadingReader question: why do patterns work?

The pullback: a trade that works

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/10/2014
  • Post category:Pullback

I've written quite a bit lately on things that don't work, and tried to point out some errors in common practical technical analysis. Yes, I'll do more of that in…

Continue ReadingThe pullback: a trade that works

A crystal ball?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/07/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

Over the years, I've had my fair share of being on both the right and wrong side of world events. However, on balance, I've noticed an unusual number of times…

Continue ReadingA crystal ball?

Bobbing for Apple?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/05/2014
  • Post category:Anti/Volatility

Since my other post today led you down a long trail of something that did not work, let me leave you this weekend with a pattern to watch over the…

Continue ReadingBobbing for Apple?

The problem with reversals

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/04/2014
  • Post category:Psychology/Trend Termination

One of the curious elements of human psychology is the tendency to fade moves or to try to pick turning points in trends. When I started trading, this was how…

Continue ReadingThe problem with reversals

Screening for stock trading candidates (2/2)

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/03/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns

(Continued from this post.) I left you yesterday having discussed filtering for volume and activity and volatility. Today, let's dig a bit deeper and, first, look at filtering for certain…

Continue ReadingScreening for stock trading candidates (2/2)

Screening for stock trading candidates (1/2)

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/02/2014
  • Post category:General Comments/Technical Patterns/Trader Development

[dc]A[/dc]ttention is a precious resource. None of us, whether individuals or institutions, have an unlimited supply of attention. Part of the process of trading successfully is figuring out where to…

Continue ReadingScreening for stock trading candidates (1/2)
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