Markets Unlocked 10/31/22: Fed Watch
Happy Halloween, everyone! As we head into the end of the first month of the last quarter of the year, the major news behind us is a GDP report. Politicians…
Markets Unlocked 10/24/22: Sectors, yen, and what’s real?
A few thoughts here, as we head into the end of October. Don’t be misled by daily moves There’s a lot of noise in markets. Commentators (of all sorts) report…
Cycles, cycles everywhere
I want to share a few of the things I have been thinking about and focusing on in the market. This market environment is not that different than "business as…
Markets Unlocked 10/17/22: what about this week’s reversal?
Thursday was one for the record books—stocks (and other risk assets) initially cratered under the CPI number, but quickly picked up momentum to the upside and finished the day in…
On shorting stocks
A few thoughts on shorting stock markets, which may prove to be especially relevant here, as we head into the end of 2022. Long-term stock bias One of the most…
Markets Unlocked 10/10/22: Where is crude oil going?
In the interest of brevity, I’m going to write this weekend’s email almost in bullet point format. There’s a lot here, so let’s get going! Global stocks are still under…
Being right being wrong
There are about ten thousand ways a trade idea can go wrong. You don’t have to trade very long to seemingly encounter most of them in your first handful of…
Markets Unlocked 10/3/22: a trade idea and timeframe expectations
Well that was an interesting month and quarter. I’m writing the second in what I expect will be a long series of weekend emails after one of the weakest months…