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  • Markets Unlocked

    Markets Unlocked
    Read more about the article Markets unlocked 3/21/23: Watch the Nasdaq

    Markets unlocked 3/21/23: Watch the Nasdaq

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/18/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked
    • Post comments:0 Comments

    All eyes will be on the FOMC mid-week, and we expect that markets will react, perhaps with extreme volatility, to any comments. This environment should underscore the futility of trading…

    Continue ReadingMarkets unlocked 3/21/23: Watch the Nasdaq
    Read more about the article Markets unlocked 3/13/23: What happens next?

    Markets unlocked 3/13/23: What happens next?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/12/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    One of the things that has surprised me over the years (in a good way!) is that macro shocks align with technical, more often than not, when technical patterns are…

    Continue ReadingMarkets unlocked 3/13/23: What happens next?
    Read more about the article Markets unlocked 3/6/23: Strength from the bottom

    Markets unlocked 3/6/23: Strength from the bottom

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:03/04/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    The last few weeks have seen stocks under moderate pressure. Though bullish patterns have degraded on daily charts, our read of market conditions has been that this has not been…

    Continue ReadingMarkets unlocked 3/6/23: Strength from the bottom
    Read more about the article Markets unlocked 2/27/23: Monitoring weakness

    Markets unlocked 2/27/23: Monitoring weakness

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:02/25/2023
    • Post category:General Comments/Markets Unlocked

    Stocks were once again weak last week. While it's easy to extrapolate whatever the market is doing into infinity, it's important to put the move in context. This, in fact,…

    Continue ReadingMarkets unlocked 2/27/23: Monitoring weakness
    Read more about the article Markets unlocked 2/13/23

    Markets unlocked 2/13/23

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:02/10/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    Last week saw several rounds of strong selling pressure in stock indexes, including a classic downtrend day on Thursday. (See chart below, just for the illustration of a textbook-perfect downtrend!)…

    Continue ReadingMarkets unlocked 2/13/23
    Read more about the article Markets unlocked 2/5/23: Big moves–good setups?

    Markets unlocked 2/5/23: Big moves–good setups?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:02/04/2023
    • Post category:General Comments/Markets Unlocked

    Last week saw some fireworks in stock indexes. Moved mostly by a handful of tech earnings and announcements with a solid dose of FOMC magic, US indexes chiseled out some…

    Continue ReadingMarkets unlocked 2/5/23: Big moves–good setups?
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 1/25/27: Short term upside?

    Markets Unlocked 1/25/27: Short term upside?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:01/29/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    As we head into the end of January, technical conditions in major stock indexes are showing a lot of strength. We see solid justification for short-term (< 2 week) swing…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 1/25/27: Short term upside?
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked: Contraction underway 1/23/22

    Markets Unlocked: Contraction underway 1/23/22

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:01/20/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    The week ahead will feature some potentially market-moving datapoints. Watch, especially, GDP on Thursday and PCE on Friday. Current technical position The past week saw some of the strongest selling…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked: Contraction underway 1/23/22
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 1/17/23: Rotation to start the year

    Markets Unlocked 1/17/23: Rotation to start the year

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:01/14/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    The week ahead is a shortened holiday week (Monday close), but we've already gotten a little insight into market tone for the new year. Perhaps the most striking element is…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 1/17/23: Rotation to start the year
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 1/9/23: Global relative strength

    Markets Unlocked 1/9/23: Global relative strength

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:01/08/2023
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    Happy New Year to all of my readers! We took a couple weeks off from these regular blog posts at the end of the year, but let's dig in and…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 1/9/23: Global relative strength
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 12/19/21: Cycle highs?

    Markets Unlocked 12/19/21: Cycle highs?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:12/16/2022
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    Here we go... heading into the end of the year. In terms of pure price patterns, there's a reasonable chance that an intermediate-term cycle top is in place in major…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 12/19/21: Cycle highs?
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 12/5/22: Is Santa coming this year?

    Markets Unlocked 12/5/22: Is Santa coming this year?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:12/03/2022
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    Happy December, everyone. As we head into the end of the year, let’s take a quick look at where the market is likely headed in the near term, in the…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 12/5/22: Is Santa coming this year?
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 11/21/22: Thanksgiving day seasonal bias

    Markets Unlocked 11/21/22: Thanksgiving day seasonal bias

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/18/2022
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    Markets were solidly locked in tight ranges this week, with many cryptocurrencies winding down in tight coils. We reminded our MarketLife members that, while such patterns always lead to great…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 11/21/22: Thanksgiving day seasonal bias
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 11/14/22: Is the market wrong?

    Markets Unlocked 11/14/22: Is the market wrong?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/11/2022
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    The market had a stunning reaction to the CPI number this week, with one of the largest gap openings on record (to regular session hours), and a historic uptrending day…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 11/14/22: Is the market wrong?
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 11/7/2022: Time to pay attention to the yield curve

    Markets Unlocked 11/7/2022: Time to pay attention to the yield curve

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:11/04/2022
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    So, folks, there’s news: our yield curve model inverted (for the first time since 2007) on 10/27/22. While nearly everyone seems to be aware that the yield curve is inverted,…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 11/7/2022: Time to pay attention to the yield curve
    Read more about the article Markets Unlocked 10/31/22: Fed Watch

    Markets Unlocked 10/31/22: Fed Watch

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:10/28/2022
    • Post category:Markets Unlocked

    Happy Halloween, everyone! As we head into the end of the first month of the last quarter of the year, the major news behind us is a GDP report. Politicians…

    Continue ReadingMarkets Unlocked 10/31/22: Fed Watch
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