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  • Monthly Archives: September 2014

    September 2014

    Three great ways to lose money

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/30/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Trader Development

    There must be a thousand ways to lose money trading, and most of them are bad ways. Many traders, especially newer traders, are paralyzed by fear of loss. Many traders…

    Continue ReadingThree great ways to lose money

    Europe is vulnerable

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/29/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Pullback

    We are seeing a potential divergence in the performance of US and European stocks. European stocks are showing overtly bearish patterns, lead by clean breakdowns out of weekly bear flags…

    Continue ReadingEurope is vulnerable

    Small cap underperformance?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/27/2014
    • Post category:General Comments

    A lot of people are focusing on the recent small cap underperformance today. Let's take a look at a little bit of history; here is a chart of the Russell…

    Continue ReadingSmall cap underperformance?

    The one thing I am paying attention to in the S&P 500 right now

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/25/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Psychology/Technical Patterns

    We are awash in opinion and speculation. Every trader is writing blog posts or tweets about why the market will go up or down, and citing any number of factors.…

    Continue ReadingThe one thing I am paying attention to in the S&P 500 right now

    Followthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/24/2014
    • Post category:Failure Test/Psychology/Support / Resistance

    I've focused quite a bit here on quantitative aspects of trading and market analysis, and I've also just scratched the surface of the thorny subject of intuition. Today, I want…

    Continue ReadingFollowthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500

    Watch the S&P 500 index tomorrow

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/23/2014
    • Post category:Failure Test

    US Stocks stand at an important potential inflection. Structurally, we have seen much support for US stocks to emerge as the global relative strength leader, should stocks break out into…

    Continue ReadingWatch the S&P 500 index tomorrow

    Death and golden crosses: a deeper look

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/22/2014
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    Last week, I wrote a post looking at the (apparently) impending Death Cross in the Russell 2000 index. In that post and the data examined, I found an interesting and…

    Continue ReadingDeath and golden crosses: a deeper look

    Death cross: omen or not?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/19/2014
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    One of the recurring themes in my work is that most of the technical tools most people use do not show an actual edge in the market--in other words, as…

    Continue ReadingDeath cross: omen or not?

    Reader question: regrets in trading?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/16/2014
    • Post category:Psychology/Readers Questions

    Reader Thomas asks: have you ever written about regrets in trading? They seem to dominate mine...missing an entry, not taking the exit, etc Good question, Thomas, and, no, this isn't…

    Continue ReadingReader question: regrets in trading?

    An important question about risk/reward

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/15/2014
    • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

    So, in doing my weekend work, I found what looks like a decent long trade in NYSE: STT. There are a number of supporting factors on this chart, but it…

    Continue ReadingAn important question about risk/reward

    Five ways to awaken intuition in trading

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/12/2014
    • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Psychology/Trader Development

    This post continues the discussion on finding the Art in technical analysis. Read that first, and also this post, on bringing broad intuition into your experience. For quantitatively-inclined traders (such…

    Continue ReadingFive ways to awaken intuition in trading

    Current market overview: weekly webinar

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/11/2014
    • Post category:Chart of the Day/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders

    This is an important time in global markets. Equities are at a potentially important inflection, and short term noise may be misleading many players. Currencies have had some fantastic moves,…

    Continue ReadingCurrent market overview: weekly webinar

    Reader question: why do patterns work?

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/11/2014
    • Post category:Individual Traders/Pullback/Readers Questions

    A really interesting discussion developed in the comments to this post on pullbacks. Since you're capable of clicking the link and reading the comments, I won't copy the whole discussion…

    Continue ReadingReader question: why do patterns work?

    The pullback: a trade that works

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/10/2014
    • Post category:Pullback

    I've written quite a bit lately on things that don't work, and tried to point out some errors in common practical technical analysis. Yes, I'll do more of that in…

    Continue ReadingThe pullback: a trade that works

    Tracking intraday risk and opportunity

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/09/2014
    • Post category:Trader Development/Volatility

    I spend a lot of time writing about volatility and even more time thinking about volatility, correlations, and the implications for risk. I want to share a quick look at…

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    Beware of markets bearing gifts… but take them!

    • Post author:AdamHGrimes
    • Post published:09/08/2014
    • Post category:Psychology

    Today's topic might appear to be a fun one, but, for the unprepared trader, there is actually serious danger here. What do we do when a trade results in a…

    Continue ReadingBeware of markets bearing gifts… but take them!
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