Seasonality: Ask the right question
I've spent many hours over the past few weeks talking with my research clients on the phone. (I think this is an important part of what we do at Waverly…
One, two, three steps to shorting stocks
I want to share a quick short setup in the S&P 500 index today. This is a repeatable pattern, and draws on many elements I have discussed here on my…
Where will the S&P 500 go next? Here’s how to find the answer.
Given the action in US stocks this week, I thought this might be a good time to share a few thoughts about the market. I hope to be able to…
Taming the bear in the Russell 2000
Let me preface this by saying two things: First, I'm bullish on global stocks over even moderately long timeframes. Technicians like to call tops, but I think this bull market…
Bullish setups in US stock indexes
I've been writing about this for quite a while, tweeting about it, pointing out the relative strength in smaller cap names, constructive sector flows, volatility compression that could support a…
Could stocks be ready to break out? What’s your plan?
Group-think is a problem in markets; so many smart people look at the same (pretty limited) set of information, so it's easy to understand why many people come to similar…
February update: meditation, support and resistance, and coding
I want to share an email I sent to my blog subscribers last week. If you don't get these updates, please sign up in the sidebar. There will be more…
Buying the Russell 2000 index
A look at the technical justification and support for a long trade in the Russell 2000 index, or other US indexes.
Moving averages: digging deeper
Ok, so I'll warn you up front: this one's going to be a little bit difficult. The response to my post on the 200 day moving average in the DJIA…
A look at the current market conditions: trades, risks, and opportunities
I thought this was a good time to take a look at current market conditions in US stocks. This is certainly a time when risk, emotions, and volatility are elevated,…
The line in the sand
Everyone does it. I used to do it too, but I stopped because I realized I looked silly a few months down the road. You've heard the predictions: "if this…
About those small and mid caps…
Everyone is talking about the recent underperformance of small caps (and I've talked about it too!) This underperformance is taken to be a sign of an impending crash, or at…
Current market overview: weekly webinar
This is an important time in global markets. Equities are at a potentially important inflection, and short term noise may be misleading many players. Currencies have had some fantastic moves,…