A look at the current market conditions: trades, risks, and opportunities
I thought this was a good time to take a look at current market conditions in US stocks. This is certainly a time when risk, emotions, and volatility are elevated,…
Does the 200 day moving average “work”?
This is one of those technical questions that does not have a quick, simple answer. The best answer is "no, not really, and almost certainly not in the way most…
The line in the sand
Everyone does it. I used to do it too, but I stopped because I realized I looked silly a few months down the road. You've heard the predictions: "if this…
About those small and mid caps…
Everyone is talking about the recent underperformance of small caps (and I've talked about it too!) This underperformance is taken to be a sign of an impending crash, or at…
One step ahead…
The most important factor setting up pullback trades, and a simple framework for market and trend analysis that really works.
The one thing I am paying attention to in the S&P 500 right now
We are awash in opinion and speculation. Every trader is writing blog posts or tweets about why the market will go up or down, and citing any number of factors.…
Followthrough matters: using subjective analysis in the S&P 500
I've focused quite a bit here on quantitative aspects of trading and market analysis, and I've also just scratched the surface of the thorny subject of intuition. Today, I want…
Watch the S&P 500 index tomorrow
US Stocks stand at an important potential inflection. Structurally, we have seen much support for US stocks to emerge as the global relative strength leader, should stocks break out into…