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Market Math

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Read more about the article Introducing a New Tool: The MAC Spike

Introducing a New Tool: The MAC Spike

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/17/2023
  • Post category:Market Math

Good tools can help us sort through the mass of market data each day to focus on what matters. Of course, there are many things we might want to filter…

Continue ReadingIntroducing a New Tool: The MAC Spike
Read more about the article Bitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

Bitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/24/2023
  • Post category:Market Math

Yesterday, I saw someone on Facebook recommending a buy based on a moving average cross. (We already know that moving average signals are not reliable trading signals.) This person was…

Continue ReadingBitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?
Read more about the article A shift in cryptocurrencies

A shift in cryptocurrencies

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:01/28/2022
  • Post category:Market Math/Quantitative analysis

Cryptocurrencies are in focus recently. Bitcoin has fallen almost 50% from its peak, and the future seems far less certain than it did a year ago. We were able to…

Continue ReadingA shift in cryptocurrencies
Read more about the article A new (FREE) tool to help you

A new (FREE) tool to help you

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/23/2020
  • Post category:Market Math/Volatility

“The benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average is off nearly 300 points as of midday today…” You can hear a similar quote on nearly every news outlet many times a day,…

Continue ReadingA new (FREE) tool to help you
Read more about the article This is what manipulation looks like

This is what manipulation looks like

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/10/2020
  • Post category:Market Math

I'm always looking at new ways to look at market data, and specifically new ways to present the data visually. Much of this finds its way into my work at…

Continue ReadingThis is what manipulation looks like
Read more about the article Knowing the future with market stats

Knowing the future with market stats

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/02/2020
  • Post category:Market Math

So, you’ve seen the headlines and, if you somehow missed it when it happened, you know that last week was a period of historically high volatility in the stock indexes.…

Continue ReadingKnowing the future with market stats

Using statistics to map the trading day

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/06/2018
  • Post category:Chart of the Day/Market Math

This will be a very quick blog, as I'm just typing a few thoughts here in the first few minutes of what might be a volatile trading day. This morning,…

Continue ReadingUsing statistics to map the trading day

Santa Claus rally: updated stats and expectations

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/04/2018
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

This is the last in a series of blogs looking at December seasonality in stocks. To quickly recap, the first post used a simple binary (up/down) classification to look at…

Continue ReadingSanta Claus rally: updated stats and expectations

Is Santa afraid of the Bear?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/30/2018
  • Post category:Market Math

This is a continuation of a series of posts looking at December seasonality in the stock market. The previous post is here, and the goal of this series is to…

Continue ReadingIs Santa afraid of the Bear?

‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/29/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools

This is a followup to my previous post that included a visualization of seasonal tendencies for about 90 years of the US stock market. A visualization like that is a good…

Continue Reading‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

Is Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/28/2018
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

This is the first in a short series of blogs in which we will look at the so-called Santa Claus rally in stocks and find some answers to the question…

Continue ReadingIs Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

An old paper I co-authored: Patterns in Stock Market Returns (2006)

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/21/2018
  • Post category:Market Math

As we round the corner into the Thanksgiving holiday, I thought I would share another piece of my old writing. I recently found this paper as I was searching through…

Continue ReadingAn old paper I co-authored: Patterns in Stock Market Returns (2006)

Let’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/20/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

This is a slightly edited version of the note I sent to my Talon Advisors clients this weekend. There is always a lot of discussion about seasonality at the end…

Continue ReadingLet’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

When percents fail

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/11/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools/Volatility

Let's think a bit about "signal generation". When we test something in the market what we're looking for is an answer to "What happens after _______ occurs?" This is really…

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How bad was October 2018, and what comes next?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/03/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Volatility

There’s been a lot of discussion and stats thrown around recently, much of it centered around the idea of “like we just had the worst October ever.” I thought it…

Continue ReadingHow bad was October 2018, and what comes next?

Understanding intermarket relationships with scatterplots

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/22/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools

Please read my last post first, before you begin this one. I ended the last post by suggesting that we were probably more interested in changes than in price levels.…

Continue ReadingUnderstanding intermarket relationships with scatterplots
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