Three steps to make sure you never miss that move
I've written a few posts recently about doing the right thing and the pain of missing moves. Sometimes very simple concepts can get us far, and I want to propose…
I've written a few posts recently about doing the right thing and the pain of missing moves. Sometimes very simple concepts can get us far, and I want to propose…
I appreciate the opportunity to share with you, my readers, here on this blog. Over the years I've learned a lot from you, have had you challenge my thinking in…
I wanted to share a video that I do weekly for my research subscribers. (More information and a free trial is available here.) This is something a bit different from…
In my last post, I showed a quick test of a simple system applied to the futures markets. The point of that post was to show how a simple quantitative…
In this post, we'll take a look at a common trend-following trading idea: channel breakouts (also called Donchian channels). I want to share with you a way of looking at…
One of the themes I've written on recently is that we need to be careful how we think about trend change and end of trend patterns. I think too much…
I thought it might be useful to star the week with a look at trends and possible inflections in a number of major markets. Here's a quick look at stocks,…
Let's talk about endings today. If we can better understand the patterns that often occur when trends end, we are better equipped to manage risk, place stops, and, in general,…
Before I call it a day, I thought I'd share a few thoughts with you. For those of you finding this post later, US stocks broke down Thursday of last…
Effective trading patterns are usually simple. The more complicated an idea is, the more likely it is the result of trying to fit very random data (i.e., the market) into…
I initiated a short in crude oil back in July, and an astute reader sent me a good question. For many weeks/months I had been operating with the assumption that…
Short term trading, intraday trading, daytrading--call it what you will, these styles of trading bring some unique challenges. Tools and approaches that work in other timeframes also work intraday, but…
Multiple timeframe analysis is almost a buzzword in technical analysis. I have been involved in markets actively for two decades, and have been an active participant in dialogue about markets…
Is a market trending or not? Even this simple question, which is at the heart of most of our thinking about markets, is not easy to answer. Definitions of trend…
Just a high level perspective on what we have going on in a few major markets this week. In general, most markets are in some kind of volatility compression. Volatility…
http://youtu.be/wCUW_KIwxEk A look at current conditions in crude oil, and some general comments on how to fade a trend.