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“The benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average is off nearly 300 points as of midday today…” You can hear a similar quote on nearly every news outlet many times a day,…
What are the odds? What market stats can and can’t tell us…
I want to share the results of a quick statistical study I did today, and also share a few thoughts about using stats, in general, to shape our trading decisions.…
When percents fail
Let's think a bit about "signal generation". When we test something in the market what we're looking for is an answer to "What happens after _______ occurs?" This is really…
Reading the chart of Ethereum with sigma spikes: cryptocurrencies aren’t so cryptic after all…
One of the tools I’ve come to rely on over the last 10 years is an indicator I call Sigma Spikes. (Read about it and how to calculate here.) This…