The Two Forces
Some ideas and patterns that could lead to good trades or tests for the two forces.
Toward a Simple Model of Price Behavior
Two simple forces behind all price patterns and price movements.
The Slings and Arrows of Outrageous Fortune
A look at what normal variability in trading results can really mean.
Reader Question: Intraday Position Sizing?
A reader asks how to quickly calculate position sizes for intraday trades.
After a long absence…
After a long absence, my blog is active again.
At the End of the Year, a Time for Reflection
A time to ask some questions and consider how you can improve your performance next year.
Know Your Tools
Make sure you understand everything nuance of every tool you use in your trading
Chart of the Day: Small Consolidation in Gold
Sometimes, important technical patterns are easy to miss. A small bar near the extreme of a recent thrust (near the extreme means near the low of a downthrust or the…
Chart of the Day: Managing the Failure Test in AAPL
The failure test trade in AAPL develops.
Chart of the Day: Failure Test in AAPL
A failure test in AAPL gives a long entry.
The Road to Mastery
A look at the stages a trader may go through on the road to mastery.
Chart of the Day: Nested Pullback in Crude Oil
Crude Oil is consolidating lower following the break of the trendline. This pattern is perhaps more clear on the weekly chart, but it appears to be a small daily consolidation…
Yes, Virginia…
[dc]I[/dc]t's nearly impossible to go a day in December without hearing the phrase "Santa Claus rally." There is an impression that the market tends to rally into the end of…
Reader Question: Why Sell a Book?
Why would anyone spend a year writing a trading book?
Chart of the Day: Moving Stops with Confirmation
Too many times, when people talk about "trading patterns" they are focusing on entry patterns. Yes, it is important to have patterns that show a positive expectancy, but the decisions…
The Market is Not a Math Problem
Human behavior drives markets. Apply quantitative techniques with caution.
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