What matters more than your process?
So, we live in a world in which investors are nervous. Everyone knows the Fed is going to raise rates, it's only a question of when and how much. Everyone…
Biotech: buy the dip?
Short answer: probably not. The long answer is more instructive, so let's get started. Context matters, but what does that mean? What is context? In this case, the longer-term relative…
Reader question: what’s useful?
A reader, Mira, asks an interesting question: I've been going through your blog and podcast and have been surprised at some of the trading tools you don't use that everyone…
MarketLife Ep 30 – Market Intuition: what it is and how to get it
This episode takes a look at market intuition--a subject that is a bit difficult to talk about. In response to a number of reader questions, I share some concrete ideas…
Who’s on your team?
So, I write and talk a lot about the tasks of trading, finding an edge, maintaining that edge, and having the discipline to apply it. Probably and statistics are important…
Guest post: How to deal with market uncertainty
I was going through comments on my blog recently (and I apologize for not keeping on top of them. It's on my to-do regularly list now!) I came across an…
Reader question: what’s the most important thing?
Reader Mark asks a beginner's question that might not be such a beginner question after all: Hi Adam. This might seem like a silly beginner question, but what is the…
Reader question: how to backtest?
Reader Jas asked a question about backtesting: I was wondering if you'd be able to advise me on how to back test a strategy on some custom indicators. I'm aware…
Reader question: is VWAP useful?
I received a good question from Brent: I recently watched [a presentation someone else did] about VWAP and they seemed really convinced it was an effective indicator. I am curious…
How to calculate SigmaSpikes?
I've received a few questions about how to calculate a measure I have referred to many times here on my blog and in my published research that I call SigmaSpikes.…
Seasonality: Ask the right question
I've spent many hours over the past few weeks talking with my research clients on the phone. (I think this is an important part of what we do at Waverly…
Announcing a new addition to the trading course: learn to trade options
I'm very excited to announce the next step in the evolution of my free trading course: a solid education in the fundamentals of options trading. I made the decision a…
Finding trend days in index futures
I've written on this topic before, but we just had a good example in the market, so it's a great time to revisit. Many intraday traders find that most of…
MarketLife Ep 29 – The secret of long-term investing (and how to do it well)
Much of my work is focused on active trading and management, but this podcast takes a look at some important ideas and principles behind long-term investing--the secret of long-term investing,…
MarketLife Ep 28 – So you want to be a trader? Here’s what you can do next.
This week's podcast picks up where we left off last week, and looks at how to apply the lessons and ideas to your own development as a trader. These two…
One, two, three steps to shorting stocks
I want to share a quick short setup in the S&P 500 index today. This is a repeatable pattern, and draws on many elements I have discussed here on my…
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