Santa Claus rally: updated stats and expectations
This is the last in a series of blogs looking at December seasonality in stocks. To quickly recap, the first post used a simple binary (up/down) classification to look at…
Is Santa afraid of the Bear?
This is a continuation of a series of posts looking at December seasonality in the stock market. The previous post is here, and the goal of this series is to…
‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.
This is a followup to my previous post that included a visualization of seasonal tendencies for about 90 years of the US stock market. A visualization like that is a good…
Is Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA
This is the first in a short series of blogs in which we will look at the so-called Santa Claus rally in stocks and find some answers to the question…
Let’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks
This is a slightly edited version of the note I sent to my Talon Advisors clients this weekend. There is always a lot of discussion about seasonality at the end…
Is It the Most Wonderful Time of the Year?
This is repost of an article I wrote last year (2012). I would have updated the numbers, but it wasn't really necessary as last December was flat enough that it…