MarketLife Ep 11 – Managing the emotions of trading
Trading is hard, but it's even harder because our emotions so often work against us. In this episode, I look at some ideas for managing emotions and putting them to…
Maybe it’s the map?
I wrote a post late last week on the value of admitting what we don't know. I made some arguments about the dangers of false confidence, and the errors we…
The hardest words to say
We live in a world where most of our basic needs are fulfilled; most of us have food and water, we have a sense of safety and security, a sense…
Bullish setups in US stock indexes
I've been writing about this for quite a while, tweeting about it, pointing out the relative strength in smaller cap names, constructive sector flows, volatility compression that could support a…
A look at my new book: Quantitative Analysis of Market Data: a Primer
I want to take a few moments and share some information on the new little book I have released. First, it is exactly what the title says: it is a…
MarketLife Ep 10 – Tuning out negativity and fear
In this episode: Tony C asks: How to tune out negativity and fear from the media? Understand the nature of media-driven information: It's constant and emotionally charged. The media has…
Could stocks be ready to break out? What’s your plan?
Group-think is a problem in markets; so many smart people look at the same (pretty limited) set of information, so it's easy to understand why many people come to similar…
Ready to rumble? Is the US Dollar set for another breakout?
To trade or invest successfully, we have to think one step ahead of the market, but we have to discipline ourselves not to act early. We also must strike a…
Slippage? Yes, please.
Sometimes, the thing you're afraid of turns out to be not so bad. Slippage is one of those things: as system developers, we know it will eat into our backtested…
Are you losing when you should be winning? Here’s something you might be missing.
Most people think about where to get into and out of positions. Most traders know how important it is to follow their rules, and most traders are always working toward…
Gold: a big drop in the big picture?
I thought it might be useful to step back and take a look at gold from a much longer-term perspective. First, the monthly chart (difference back-adjusted continuous futures): The first…
MarketLife Ep 9 – Expectations make all the difference
The second part of a two-part miniseries on what to expect when you're learning how to trade. Highlights from this episode include: What do you need to give yourself the…
Efficient Markets? Ask trapped traders what they think!
One of the age-old questions is "why should any pattern work?" In this case, we're not simply talking about patterns on charts, but we could ask the same question of…
US Dollar trend update… next steps
Just a quick followup to this post, in which I suggested the US Dollar might be set for a fakeout rally (that has happened) that might fail into a sharp…
Coming soon…
Just a short note here as we head into the holiday weekend. I want to share a few updates and tell you about about some exciting new things that are…
Stop! Don’t make that trade…
So you're a trader, huh? (Or investor... if you think of yourself as an investor, just read "invest" instead of "trade"; this message is for you too!) If you are…