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Chart of the Day: Potential Failure Test in Beans

The most important levels in markets are those that are clearly visible to all market participants. The July pivot high in Soybeans is a good example of an important level to watch. A failure test (think 2B short entry) at this level would present a serious challenge to the integrity of the uptrend in grains, but heavy long exposure is virtually required by the current market structure. Use this potential setup not so much as a trade entry (for perhaps longs would only choose to reduce exposure incrementally into the failure test), but as an analytical tool for assessing the strength of the trend. A strong uptrend should not show a failure test here.

AdamHGrimes

Adam Grimes has over two decades of experience in the industry as a trader, analyst and system developer. The author of a best-selling trading book, he has traded for his own account, for a top prop firm, and spent several years at the New York Mercantile Exchange. He focuses on the intersection of quantitative analysis and discretionary trading, and has a talent for teaching and helping traders find their own way in the market.
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