Time of day influences in currencies

In my last post, I looked at intraday activity in stock indexes; I had a few requests to repeat the same work, showing time of day influences–intraday volume (tick volume) and trend strength–for a handful of major currencies.

I’ll just present the charts here without much commentary, as the patterns are probably less significant, in many ways, than they are in stock indexes. A few thoughts:

  • It is easy to see the session opens that dominate trading in these currencies.
  • The primacy of the US market is also clearly visible. Perhaps this is an effect that will change over the next ten years, and it certainly is worth watching.
  • The question of trend strength by time of day is more complicated, as it probably responds to a complex web of session openings and closings, scheduled news impacts, and action in related equity markets.
    • It is, at least, possible to identify best and worst trending times of day, and these will come as no surprise to currency traders.
  • In general, these effects may be less important and less significant for currency traders than they are for stock index traders.

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AdamHGrimes

Adam Grimes has over two decades of experience in the industry as a trader, analyst and system developer. The author of a best-selling trading book, he has traded for his own account, for a top prop firm, and spent several years at the New York Mercantile Exchange. He focuses on the intersection of quantitative analysis and discretionary trading, and has a talent for teaching and helping traders find their own way in the market.

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