Where are markets going next? My current thinking and positioning
I appreciate the opportunity to share with you, my readers, here on this blog. Over the years I've learned a lot from you, have had you challenge my thinking in…
Reader question: can’t hold on to winners?
i received a great question from Glenn, which I'll summarize and paraphrase below: Adam, I'm doing many things right in my trading, but I struggle with one thing: I get…
Doing the right thing: Bias, opinion, and action points
One of the great things about writing a daily research piece is that it serves as a good record of my thought process and perspective on markets on each and…
Putting momentum to work for you
Financial markets are confusing--there's no doubt about that. Sudden reversals, spikes, dull dead periods exploding into panic, fakeouts and fakeouts of fakeouts... the list goes on, but traders and investors…
Reader question: how to not blow yourself up. Pattern interrupts can help.
Reader Steve asks a good question: Hi. I know that most of what you talk about isn't really about daytrading, but I am a daytrader and I have a question.…
Staying in step: finding rhythm of the market
Rhythm is a fundamental aspect of the human experience: our bodies pulse with the rhythm of blood and breath. We experience the rhythms of day and night, and the longer…
Video blog: market conditions and trend structure
I wanted to share a video that I do weekly for my research subscribers. (More information and a free trial is available here.) This is something a bit different from…
Down in the trenches with trading tactics
In my last blog post, I made an argument that the details of patterns do not matter--get the idea and the big picture right, and everything else is much easier.…
What’s going on? Thinking conceptually about patterns.
When I started trading, like many people, I was drawn to traditional technical analysis. I spent hours and hours studying different variations of patterns, often after creating the charts myself…
Four things you need to know about quiet markets
How many emails do you get promising to show you how to find "hot stocks now"? How many screeners out there want to show you the movers and shakers in…
Lessons from a reader: trade review of CREE
I received a good question from a long-time reader on a trade he executed in CREE. Here's Jim's (edited) question: I’ve been trying to swing trade for a few years…
Trading Edge vs trading edge
I did an interview a week or so ago with Abraham Thomas, one of the co-founders of Quandl. I love doing interviews because a thoughtful interviewer makes me ask questions…
Four steps to mastering your fear of trading
Every trader faces fear, sooner or later. In a perfect world, we'd be fearful at exactly the right times and use that fear to manage our risk, but we all…
AUDUSD: Short-term inflections or trend change?
One of the key challenges for discretionary traders is balancing short-term and longer-term information. Err too far on either side, and bad things will happen: Focus too much on short-term,…
Exits: know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em
We all focus a lot of attention, perhaps too much attention, on where to buy and sell a market, on where to enter trades. Today, let's spend some time looking…
Reader question: what’s wrong with Fibonacci?
Matt asked a question that I sat on for quite a while. I wasn't sure how to write a reasonably concise answer to a good question, but I'll try today.…