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seasonality

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Read more about the article Bitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

Bitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/24/2023
  • Post category:Market Math

Yesterday, I saw someone on Facebook recommending a buy based on a moving average cross. (We already know that moving average signals are not reliable trading signals.) This person was…

Continue ReadingBitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

Santa Claus rally: updated stats and expectations

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/04/2018
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

This is the last in a series of blogs looking at December seasonality in stocks. To quickly recap, the first post used a simple binary (up/down) classification to look at…

Continue ReadingSanta Claus rally: updated stats and expectations

Is Santa afraid of the Bear?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/30/2018
  • Post category:Market Math

This is a continuation of a series of posts looking at December seasonality in the stock market. The previous post is here, and the goal of this series is to…

Continue ReadingIs Santa afraid of the Bear?

‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/29/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Trading tools

This is a followup to my previous post that included a visualization of seasonal tendencies for about 90 years of the US stock market. A visualization like that is a good…

Continue Reading‘Tis the season… or is it? A deeper look at seasonality in stocks.

Is Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/28/2018
  • Post category:General Comments/Market Math

This is the first in a short series of blogs in which we will look at the so-called Santa Claus rally in stocks and find some answers to the question…

Continue ReadingIs Santa Real? Monthly seasonality in the DJIA

Let’s talk turkey: Thanksgiving seasonality in stocks

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:11/20/2018
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

This is a slightly edited version of the note I sent to my Talon Advisors clients this weekend. There is always a lot of discussion about seasonality at the end…

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Is It the Most Wonderful Time of the Year?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:12/16/2013
  • Post category:General Comments/Individual Traders/Institutional Managers/Traders/Market Math

This is repost of an article I wrote last year (2012). I would have updated the numbers, but it wasn't really necessary as last December was flat enough that it…

Continue ReadingIs It the Most Wonderful Time of the Year?
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