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Read more about the article Bitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

Bitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/24/2023
  • Post category:Market Math

Yesterday, I saw someone on Facebook recommending a buy based on a moving average cross. (We already know that moving average signals are not reliable trading signals.) This person was…

Continue ReadingBitcoin Seasonal Influences: What Happens When a Myth Meets Data?
Read more about the article Make the Market Be Your Teacher

Make the Market Be Your Teacher

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/31/2023
  • Post category:Trader Development/Trading tools

“Learn from the market. Let the market be your teacher.” This sounds like the path to true trading wisdom (and it is), but there’s an obvious question: how do we…

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Read more about the article Knowing the future with market stats

Knowing the future with market stats

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/02/2020
  • Post category:Market Math

So, you’ve seen the headlines and, if you somehow missed it when it happened, you know that last week was a period of historically high volatility in the stock indexes.…

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Chartschool: do your own homework

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/20/2018
  • Post category:Technical Patterns

In this video, I show you how to use an Excel spreadsheet and, in just a few minutes, get some basic answers about market tendencies and market stats. https://youtu.be/d6Ob19DMLlk

Continue ReadingChartschool: do your own homework

Reader question: how to backtest?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/25/2015
  • Post category:Market Math/Readers Questions

Reader Jas asked a question about backtesting: I was wondering if you'd be able to advise me on how to back test a strategy on some custom indicators. I'm aware…

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MarketLife Ep 5 – Trading, investing, and gambling: playing the odds and how to do it

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:03/20/2015
  • Post category:Podcast

  This episode of MarketLife looks at trading, investing, and gambling, and how people try to put the odds in their favor.       Everything we do in financial…

Continue ReadingMarketLife Ep 5 – Trading, investing, and gambling: playing the odds and how to do it

Bad statistics lead to bad decisions: the first day of the month effect

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:10/03/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Trader Development

It is easy to calculate statistics, and it seems like, more and more, we are bombarded with market statistics from every side. The problem is that many of those statistics…

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Death cross: omen or not?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:09/19/2014
  • Post category:Market Math/Technical Patterns

One of the recurring themes in my work is that most of the technical tools most people use do not show an actual edge in the market--in other words, as…

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Reader question: Volume?

  • Post author:AdamHGrimes
  • Post published:08/14/2014
  • Post category:Readers Questions

Nathan asks: Does volume play any role in your analysis? Do you look at increased volatility in conjunction with increased volume? Also, since the spot FX market does not have…

Continue ReadingReader question: Volume?
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