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Are you predicting or not?

Traders often say “I don’t predict anything; I just follow my system.” I’ve always found this a little bit curious because when you trade you are making a prediction, based on a few assumptions. (Even for those marketers who try to insulate...

TradeLab review

This blog post is a review of every TradeLab we have published for MarketLife since our previous post. TradeLab was designed to be an easily accessible and digestible “trading lesson” in context of a current setup in the market. We get to see patterns set...

Why Bitcoin was a clear short

On 4 December, I fired off a quick tweet that generated a lot of discussion in my Facebook and email inboxes. (Curiously enough, not so much discussion on the tweek itself.) The tweet was just a quick snap of a daily and intraday chart of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with the...

What can we learn from the range?

Markets broadly exist in two states: trends or trading ranges. In other words, a market is happy with the current price (and accepts it) or is moving to another price. Of course, this makes everything sound a bit more predictable than it actually is: trends can...

Why were we focused on NZD trades?

A week ago, I pointed out trade setups in NZDUSD and many NZD crosses to my MarketLife and Talon clients. Of course, one issue currency traders need to consider is correlated risk; if you take a bunch of trades driven by one particular currency (even if that currency...

Is Santa afraid of the Bear?

This is a continuation of a series of posts looking at December seasonality in the stock market. The previous post is here, and the goal of this series is to both examine the seasonal tendency and to share the thought process. Today, we’re going to do something a...