Chart of the Day: Consolidation in Gold

By way of history, we have been bearish on Gold for quite some time in the research I write daily for Waverly Advisors, and we hold a short that was established 9/23/13. There is potential for a dramatic pattern failure here, so this is absolutely not a time to “have conviction” or to stubbornly short into pops. Rather, appropriate stops should be used on existing shorts, and new trades only initiated based on clear and strong patterns. Having said that, the current small rally, dating back to mid December, is most likely a pullback on the higher timeframe. Traders not holding shorts could initiate on weakness below recent support, and the failure of those new trades could be a signal for existing shorts to lighten or reduce positions. Technical patterns can set up and motivate trades, but they are maybe even more meaningful when they are used to assess the overall balance of buying and selling pressure in a market. In this case, precious metals are poised on a knife’s edge: tremendous downside potential, but also the risk of a sharp “short covering” rally if the moves fail.

AdamHGrimes

Adam Grimes has over two decades of experience in the industry as a trader, analyst and system developer. The author of a best-selling trading book, he has traded for his own account, for a top prop firm, and spent several years at the New York Mercantile Exchange. He focuses on the intersection of quantitative analysis and discretionary trading, and has a talent for teaching and helping traders find their own way in the market.

This Post Has 6 Comments

  1. donrobito

    I,m long at seven a.m. (time in Madrid), in 1240,75, who will be right?

  2. donrobito

    Besides, I entered long in GBPUSD. 1,63370. Adam, What do you think?

  3. donrobito

    LONG AUS/USD 0.8826 GOOD LUCK

    1. Adam Grimes

      These are silly posts. Cease and desist or find your IP banned. There won’t be a second warning.

      If you want to contribute to the discussion, please do. Posting trades in the comments makes no sense.

  4. DONROBITO

    ADAM: SORRY, I FEEL SO EMBARRASED, I THOUGHT IT WOULD
    HELP.OF COURSE I WON,T DO THAT ANYMORE.
    ANYWAY I THINK YOU WERE A LITTLE RUDE WITH ME, I LOVE YOUR BOOK, (I READ IT TIME AND AGAIN) IN FACT IT,S FULL OF NOTES AND UNDERLINED, I ADVICED MY FRIENDS THEY OUGHT TO BUY IT, I THINK I DON,T DESERVE THAT KIND OF EXPRESSIONS.

  5. No11

    any chart of the day updates? 😉

Comments are closed.